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Optics demand strong on eve of ECOC

Telco earnings reports from 2Q22 make clear that the spending climate remains strong. Capex climbed 3% YoY, pushing annualized capital intensity (capex/revenues) up further to 17.8% - the highest in at least a decade. The year-end 2022 capex figure may slightly exceed our latest forecast of $326B. This is benefiting lots of suppliers, but the benefits clearly are not distributed equally. With Europe’s big optical event coming next week (ECOC), now is a good time to check in on the top-line figures among the world’s optics-focused suppliers (fiber, access and transport). This is limited to a sample of vendors in this space, focusing on those which sell into telco markets, don’t rely primarily on one geographic market for sales, and report public financials with segment breakouts relevant to optical fiber, or access/transport systems...

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Best regards,
Matt Walker
Chief Analyst
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